Interest rates set to hit 2% by 2021, BoE warns

Interest rates are set to hit 2% by 2021, Bank of England policymaker Gertjan Vlieghe has warned.

Vlieghe said the UK was likely to see “one or two” interest rate rises each year up to March 2021, which would push the base rate up from 0.5% to 2%.

The cost of borrowing last hit 2% in December 2008, when the Bank was cutting interest rates in an effort to prop up the economy. Rates fell from 5.5 % in December 2007 to 1.5% in January 2009.

Last week, MPC members broke consensus and voted for an immediate 0.75% rise in interest rates.

The Bank of England left interest rates unchanged today at 0.5%, but both Ian McCafferty and Michael Saunders are worried that inaction now will mean rates will need to rise faster and further in future.

Sterling jumped on the news, hitting a seven-week high against the dollar.

Hargreaves Lansdown senior economist Ben Brettell said: “The Bank faces a delicate balancing act. Inflation seems to be falling back towards the target of 2%, as the effect of the weaker pound starts to filter out of the calculation. But a pick-up in wage growth points to an erosion of slack in the labour market. This raises the prospect that a wage-price spiral could push inflation back up in future. Throw in a hefty dose of Brexit-related uncertainty and it’s easy to see why the committee is divided at present.”

    Share Story:

Recent Stories


FREE E-NEWS SIGN UP

Subscribe to our newsletter to receive breaking news and other industry announcements by email.

  Please tick here to confirm you are happy to receive third party promotions from carefully selected partners.


Is 2025 the year of the remortgage?
An estimated 1.8 million fixed rate mortgage deals are due to expire in 2025, 400,000 more than in 2024. This surge in remortgaging presents a critical opportunity for mortgage brokers to offer essential advice and financial support to homeowners across the UK, ensuring they transition smoothly to new deals amid stabilising interest rates and heightened affordability checks.


The future of the bridging industry and the Autumn Budget
MoneyAge content editor, Dan McGrath, is joined by head of marketing at Black & White Bridging, Matt Horton, to discuss the bridging industry, the impact of the Autumn Budget and what the future holds for the sector.

The UK housing market in 2024
The performance of the UK housing market in 2024 has largely exceeded many people's expectations, although challenges remain for first-time buyers due to house prices increasing and a testing rental market for many. Regional disparities, such as the North-South divide, also continue to influence housing accessibility and affordability for many buyers in pockets of the country.